By Indresh Sharma | The Bharat Brief |
 |
| Modi in China After 7 Years – Xi, Putin, SCO Summit |
PM Modi In China
Prime Minister Narendra Modi has landed in Tianjin, China, for the 25th Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) Summit. This marks his first visit to China in seven yearsa gap shaped by border clashes, strategic distrust, and shifting global alignments.
The timing of this visit is no coincidence. Modi arrives at a moment when:
-
US–India ties face turbulence after Washington’s steep tariffs on Indian goods.
-
China–India relations are thawing, with cautious steps after years of LAC standoffs.
-
Russia seeks renewed support, with President Putin expected in India later this year.
-
The SCO platform itself is evolving, from a regional security bloc into a symbol of non-Western solidarity.
In many ways, this trip encapsulates India’s balancing act in the multipolar world order engaging East and West while yielding to neither.
Part I: Why PM Modi China Visit Matters Now
.jpg) |
| Modi in China After 7 Years – Xi, Putin, SCO Summit |
1. The Seven-Year Gap Explained
The last time Modi set foot in China was in 2018, at the Wuhan Informal Summit with Xi Jinping. The years since have been marked by:
-
The 2019 Ladakh tensions, leading to the Galwan Valley clash in 2020, the first deadly skirmish in decades.
-
Frozen diplomatic channels: minimal high-level visits and a collapse of direct flights.
-
India’s recalibration toward the West: QUAD, closer defense ties with the US, and European partnerships.
2. The SCO as a Stage
The SCO, born in 2001, initially focused on counterterrorism and Central Asian stability. But by 2025 it has become a platform where:
-
China and Russia project alternatives to Western-led governance.
-
India, Iran, and Central Asian states push for regional voice in multipolar order.
-
Economic and energy issues increasingly dominate agendas.
India’s role as a democracy within a largely authoritarian bloc makes its positioning both unique and strategic.
3. The Tariff Backdrop
The Trump administration’s 50% tariffs on Indian goods—with an extra 25% for Russian oil imports have forced New Delhi to rethink overdependence on Washington.
While the US remains a critical partner, India now signals:
-
It will diversify trade partners.
-
It will not be coerced economically.
-
Engagement with Eurasian blocs is not a betrayal but sovereignty in action.
Part II: India’s Objectives at Tianjin
1. Border & Security with China
-
Push for LAC disengagement beyond limited patrol agreements.
-
Rebuild military confidence-building measures.
-
Emphasize terrorism cooperation in the SCO declaration.
2. Economic Engagement
-
Demand greater market access in China, especially IT services and pharma.
-
Leverage SCO to explore energy corridors linking Central Asia, Russia, and India.
-
Position India as a balancing economy within SCO, not a passive participant.
3. Strategic Signaling
-
To Xi Jinping: India is open to dialogue but will not accept coercion.
-
To Vladimir Putin: Energy and defense ties remain solid; December visit will deepen them.
-
To the US: India is not walking away, but it will not be pressured into one-sided concessions.
Part III: The Xi–Modi Equation
The Modi–Xi relationship has been one of peaks and valleys.
-
2014–2018: A period of outreach (Xi in Ahmedabad, Modi in Wuhan).
-
2019–2020: Collapse of trust after Doklam and Galwan.
-
2021–2024: Frozen diplomacy, tense borders, rising Chinese incursions.
-
2024–25: Signs of thaw patrol agreements, resumed flights, reopening border trade routes.
This Tianjin meeting is not about friendship but managing rivalry. For Xi, hosting Modi shows China’s diplomatic weight. For Modi, attending shows India’s maturity—engagement without submission.
Part IV: The Putin Factor
Russia remains India’s long-standing strategic partner:
-
60–70% of Indian defense equipment originates from Russia.
-
Russia has become a top oil supplier post-Ukraine sanctions.
-
Moscow relies on India as a non-Western buyer and diplomatic partner.
At Tianjin, Modi and Putin are expected to:
-
Finalize plans for Putin’s December India visit.
-
Discuss energy, defense, and nuclear cooperation.
-
Coordinate on BRICS+, SCO, and UN reform.
Part V: The US Angle
1. Tariffs as Economic Coercion
The US tariffs are framed as protecting domestic jobs. But for India, they are economic arm-twisting.
2. India’s Countermoves
-
Expanding ties with Europe, GCC, ASEAN.
-
Using platforms like SCO to show it has alternatives.
-
Strengthening self-reliance policies (PLI schemes, defense production).
3. Washington’s Dilemma
-
Push too hard, and India leans toward China–Russia.
-
Engage respectfully, and India remains a critical Indo-Pacific partner.
Part VI: Expert Views
Dr. Kavita Rao, Strategic Affairs Expert:
“This visit is not about personal rapport. It’s about resetting the operating system of India–China ties. Modi and Xi may never be friends, but they must be managers of coexistence.”
Prof. Rajiv Menon, Energy Analyst:
“India’s embrace of Russian oil is not ideological—it’s pragmatic. This summit allows Modi to assure Putin that New Delhi will continue energy cooperation despite US pressure.”
Dr. Anjali Sharma, Economist:
“India’s massive domestic market gives it leverage. Tariffs may hurt in the short run, but they cannot cripple India the way they might smaller economies.”
Part VII: What This Means for the World
-
Multipolar Diplomacy in Action: India demonstrates that global order cannot be defined by Washington or Beijing alone.
-
SCO’s Coming of Age: Once dismissed as a “talk shop,” SCO is now a stage for great power politics.
-
Geopolitical Balancing: India shows it can engage China and Russia while retaining strong ties with the US, Europe, and Indo-Pacific democracies.
Key Takeaways
-
Modi’s first China visit in 7 years marks a strategic reset.
-
Core goals: border stability, energy security, terrorism agenda, multipolar engagement.
-
India signals autonomy neither pro-China nor anti-US, but pro-India.
-
SCO emerges as a symbolic arena for shifting world order.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: Why is this visit so significant?
A: Because it breaks a 7-year freeze, reopens India–China dialogue, and signals India’s multipolar strategy.
Q: Does this mean India is joining a China-led bloc?
A: No. India uses SCO to project its voice while retaining independent ties with the West.
Q: What’s the biggest risk of the visit?
A: That India appears too close to China, alarming Western allies.
Q: What’s India’s biggest advantage?
A: Its domestic market and multi-alignment diplomacy—no one bloc can isolate it.
Conclusion: Sovereignty, Not Submission
Modi’s visit to China is not a return to pre-2019 bonhomie. It is a carefully calculated diplomatic gamble.
By engaging both Xi and Putin under the SCO umbrella, India shows it is not trapped between Washington and Beijing but is carving its own path.
The world is watching Tianjin. The outcome will not just shape India–China relations, but also define India’s place in a rapidly shifting global order.
One message is clear: India negotiates, never capitulates.
Stay tuned with The Bharat Brief for sharp insights into India’s global moves. Subscribe now and never miss a story shaping the world!
About the Author: Indresh Sharma is a Geopolitical Analyst for The Bharat Brief, specializing in international trade, multipolar politics, and India’s foreign policy.
No comments:
Post a Comment